This collaborative project between scientists and policy makers in West Africa and Europe aims to increase understanding of the regional climate and how it will change, and also apply that knowledge to practical development questions.
We will focus on weather events that significantly impact on livelihoods (e.g. flood-producing storms, crop-damaging dry spells), and combine traditional computer models of climate change with observations and cutting edge regional models which realistically depict individual storms. Applying expert judgement to these outputs, we will identify impacts and adaptation options in water resources and agriculture, including targeted studies on urban flooding and crop breeding.
1. we will provide expert judgement on future projections of High Impact Weather and climate which is tailored specifically to the needs of decision-makers.
2. we will create tools and methodologies for using these projections for planning within the agricultural and hydrological sectors.
3. we will demonstrate the potential for effective application of reliable 5-40 year climate projections and associated uncertainties in regional to local scale decision-making.
We will translate regional climate projections, accounting for physical uncertainty and socio-economic context, into regional projections for water resources and agriculture, including pilot studies on urban flooding and resilient agriculture. Decision makers will be integrated from the outset, using an ‘assess-risk-of-policy’ framing whereby decision makers will have an essential role in framing uncertainty descriptions – assisting users to take ownership of the research and simultaneously building capacity.
A key objective underpinning all of our work is the development of skilled researchers in West Africa, alongside increased uptake of climate information in decision-making.